| Physical Process | Hypothesized Change | 
| Wind Stress Curl | Decreases, northward shift | 
| Poleward Transport | Position of subarctic bifurcation moves north; changes in transport unknown | 
| Coastal wind stress | Decreases, esp. winter | 
| Coastal downwelling | Decreases, esp. winter | 
| Coastal precipitation | Increases | 
| Freshwater input | Increases; maximum shifts toward winter | 
| Coastal current transport (ACC) | Decreases | 
| Stratification | Increases in central gulf and in coastal region | 
| Upwelling, central Gulf of AK | Decreases | 
| SST | Increases | 
| Eddies and meanders | Unknown | 
| Mixed layer depth | Decreases | 
| Cross shelf transport | Decreases | 
| Winter storms intensity | Decreases | 
| Winter storm frequency | Unknown | 
| Timing of spring bloom | Unknown; may be later due to lower temperatures, or earlier due to decreased cloudiness affecting solar timing. |